Bitget CEO: US Bitcoin Reserve unlikely to see active federal buying

The Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, established by executive order in March 2025, functions primarily as a custodial vehicle for forfeited assets rather than an active investment fund. Although the directive mandates that the Treasury Department retain seized coins, it explicitly requires that any future acquisition strategies remain budget-neutral. This constraint effectively bars the government from using taxpayer funds for market-based accumulation without congressional authorization.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent echoed this stance in August 2025, clarifying that the federal government intends to grow its holdings solely through confiscated assets. While the reserve removes a potential source of sell-side pressure by prohibiting the liquidation of federal Bitcoin, it does not generate the recurring demand that many market participants initially anticipated. Legislative proposals, such as Senator Cynthia Lummis’s BITCOIN Act, have sought to mandate large-scale purchases, yet these efforts have failed to gain sufficient momentum to move beyond the proposal stage.

Investors face continued uncertainty regarding the exact scale of the stockpile. Public estimates often cite a figure of 198,000 BTC, but this number conflates assets that are finally forfeited with those still tied up in restitution claims or ongoing legal proceedings. Without a formal audit or a clear, legally protected funding mechanism, the reserve remains a static repository of seized property rather than a proactive fiscal tool for digital asset accumulation.